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KingpinLoads

Lease-purchase deal analyzer

Enter the weekly payment, deductions, balloon and your share of linehaul. The analyzer shows what you really take home each week, what you'd pay in total for the truck against its value today, and how much you'd have paid in if you walked away.

By RonaldUpdated October 2026

How the analyzer works

The analyzer runs three numbers from the same contract, because a lease-purchase can look fine on one and fall apart on another.

Weekly take-home. Your share of linehaul is miles times the linehaul rate times your percentage. From that it subtracts fuel (miles divided by fuel economy, times the diesel price) and every weekly deduction: the truck payment, escrow, the maintenance fund and anything else the carrier takes out, like insurance, plates or trailer rent. What's left is what you keep before your own taxes and living costs.

Total paid against value. Weekly payment times the number of weeks, plus the balloon at the end, is what the truck really costs you. The analyzer puts that next to what the same truck sells for today. The bar chart under the result makes the gap visible.

Walk-away cost. Leases are long, and plans change. The analyzer adds up the truck payments and maintenance fund deposits you'd have made by the week you choose. Many contracts keep some or all of that if you leave early, so treat it as money at risk.

The diesel price starts at the U.S. average on-highway price for the last week of September 2026. Change it to what you actually pay.

Source:EIA, U.S. on-highway diesel fuel price, week of Sep 28, 2026: $6.382/gal · checked 2026-10

Worked example

Example
Your share of linehaul
$3,250 / wk
Fuel
$2,454 / wk
Deductions
$1,050 / wk
Take-home
-$254 / wk
Total paid
$111,400
Truck value today
$70,000
Default inputs: 2,500 miles a week at $2.00 linehaul, 65% share, 6.5 mpg, diesel $6.38, $650 payment over 156 weeks plus a $10,000 balloon.

At these example numbers the week ends in the red before the driver is paid, and the truck costs about 1.6 times what it's worth today. Change one thing at a time: a carrier paying fuel, a higher percentage, or a lower payment. Watch which input moves take-home the most; that's the term worth negotiating hardest.

What good and bad results look like

A healthy result has three things. Take-home per week covers your living costs with room for slow weeks. Total paid isn't far above the truck's value plus normal financing. And the walk-away figure is something you could lose without being ruined.

Warning signs are just as clear. Negative or thin take-home means the deal only works if everything goes right. A total price well above the truck's value means you're paying a premium for the privilege of leasing. A maintenance fund you can't get back, combined with a clause that makes you pay for major repairs, means one engine failure can wipe out months of payments.

Read the contract for the details the numbers can't show: who chooses your loads, whether you can refuse a load without penalty, what happens to the funds if the carrier ends the lease, and whether you can take the truck elsewhere to work.

Questions worth asking before you sign:

  • Who pays for an engine, transmission or aftertreatment failure, and is there a cap?
  • What happens to escrow and the maintenance fund if I leave, and if the carrier ends the lease?
  • Can I see the truck's maintenance records and get my own inspection?
  • Is the balloon fixed, or can it change?
  • How are my miles assigned, and what does a slow week cost me?

Get every answer in writing and run the worst-case versions through the analyzer.

Your own authority as the comparison

The fairest comparison is the same truck under your own MC. You'd pay for insurance, plates and compliance yourself, but you'd keep the full rate on each load and choose which loads to run. With a dispatcher, the fee is a percentage of gross on loads you approve; see our dispatch pricing.

To size that up, check typical rates in our flatbed rate per mile guide, plan your counter-offers with the counter-offer target rate calculator, and price empty miles with the deadhead miles cost calculator. If you run open deck, our flatbed owner-operator guide covers the startup side.

Calculator questions

Note 01Is a lease-purchase ever a good deal?

Sometimes. A fair deal has a total price close to what the truck is worth plus reasonable financing, leaves solid take-home pay after every deduction, and lets you leave without losing everything you paid in. If any of those three fails, walk away or get the contract changed. The analyzer shows all three on one screen.

Note 02What happens to my escrow if I quit?

It depends on the contract. Some carriers return escrow minus any money you owe them; others keep part or all of it under early-termination clauses. The maintenance fund is often handled differently from escrow. Ask for both rules in writing before you sign, and assume the worst case when you use the walk-away figure.

Note 03What does the balloon payment mean?

A balloon is a lump sum due at the end of the lease before the truck's title transfers to you. A large balloon keeps weekly payments low but means you pay a big amount at the very end, when the truck is older. Add it to the weekly payments to see the full price.

Note 04How do I know what the truck is worth?

Look up the same make, model, year and mileage on used-truck listings and auction results, and ask a dealer for a cash price. Use a realistic number, not the price in the lease paperwork. If the total you'd pay is far above that value, you're paying for the financing and the carrier's margin.

Note 05Should I get my own authority instead?

If the lease pays you poorly, your own authority can be better, but it brings insurance, compliance and finding loads yourself. Run the numbers both ways. Under your own MC you keep the full rate on each load, and a dispatcher can handle the load search for a percentage of the loads you choose to run.

Written by

Ronald

Updated October 2026

Before you sign a lease, price your own authority

Keep the whole rate on loads you approve. Dispatch is a percentage, only when you haul.

Fee

5% standard

Setup

$0

Contract

Month-to-month

Loads

Your call, every time